Indonesia: Nusantara's projected GHG emission by scenario 2045

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Under a business-as-usual scenario, the capital city of Nusantara was projected to emit around 7.86 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (MtCO₂) worth of greenhouse gases by 2030. On the other hand, if the country and sectors are consistent with implementing the government's Master Plan Scenario, Nusantara's emissions would drop to approximately 1.36 MtCO₂ by the year 2030.

The Indonesian government is currently developing the Capital City of Nusantara (Ibu Kota Nusantara/IKN), located in East Kalimantan, to replace Jakarta as the national capital. Nusantara spans across portions of North Penajam Paser and Kutai Kartanegara regencies, and its full development is aimed to be completed by 2045.

Projected greenhouse gas emissions in the Capital City of Nusantara, Indonesia in 2030 and 2045, by scenario (in million tons of CO₂)

Characteristic	Business-as-usual	Countermeasure 1	Countermeasure 2
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Release date

December 2023

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Region

Indonesia

Survey time period

2023

Supplementary notes

Business-as-usual - scenario was formulated assuming that Nusantara will be built using the same type of infrastructure, power generation mix, transport modes, and waste management practices found in Jakarta.
Countermeasure 1 - depicts a scenario that is in line with the Master Plan Scenario, in which Nusantara is built according to the Nusantara Indonesia New Capital City Master Plan established in 2022 (Presidential Regulation No. 63/2022).
Countermeasure 2 - depicts a scenario which incorporates more ambitious mitigation commitments and targets than those in the Master Plan Scenario.

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